potential COVID-19 treatments - versus control - for COVID-19 mild to moderate pdf   xlsx method abbreviations

Outcome Relative effect 95%CI LoD Trt. better when I2 k (RCT/OBS) Bayesian probability Overall ROB Publication bias Degree of certainty Endpoint importance Published MA

efficacy endpoints 00

death D28 0.70 [0.55, 0.88]< 10%14 studies (14/-)99.9 %some concernlow moderatecrucial-
death or transfer to ICU 0.89 [0.59, 1.34]< 146%2 studies (2/-)71.8 %highnot evaluable lowcrucial-
deaths 0.78 [0.64, 0.94]< 115%41 studies (37/4)99.6 %moderatecritical moderatecrucial-
deaths (time to event analysis only) 0.51 [0.24, 1.06]< 140%5 studies (4/1)96.4 %moderatenot evaluable moderatecrucial-
clinical deterioration 0.74 [0.55, 1.00]< 161%17 studies (17/-)97.5 %some concernlow moderateimportant-
clinical improvement 1.24 [1.05, 1.46]> 136%16 studies (15/1)99.4 %moderatelow moderateimportant-
clinical improvement (14-day) 1.17 [0.93, 1.47]> 135%9 studies (9/-)91.6 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
clinical improvement (21-day) 2.09 [0.04, 119.96]> 10%1 study (1/-)63.7 %NAnot evaluable important-
clinical improvement (28-day) 1.34 [1.10, 1.62]> 146%5 studies (5/-)99.8 %some concernserious moderateimportant-
clinical improvement (7-day) 1.24 [0.99, 1.55]> 165%10 studies (10/-)96.7 %some concerncritical moderateimportant-
clinical improvement (time to event analysis only) 1.20 [1.03, 1.38]> 142%10 studies (9/1)99.2 %moderatelow moderateimportant-
death or ventilation 0.75 [0.63, 0.88]< 10%5 studies (5/-)100.0 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
hospital discharge 1.91 [1.17, 3.12]> 189%8 studies (7/1)99.5 %moderateserious moderateimportant-
hospitalization 0.46 [0.06, 3.45]< 128%2 studies (2/-)77.4 %lownot evaluable highimportant-
mechanical ventilation 0.87 [0.55, 1.38]< 146%15 studies (14/1)72.2 %moderatecritical moderateimportant-
mechanical ventilation (time to event analysis only) 0.06 [0.01, 0.83]< 10%1 study (1/-)98.2 %NAnot evaluable important-
radiologic improvement (14-day) 1.82 [0.95, 3.51]> 139%4 studies (4/-)96.4 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
radiologic improvement (7-day) 0.40 [0.02, 6.97]> 177%3 studies (3/-)26.9 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
viral clearance 1.40 [1.07, 1.83]> 169%18 studies (17/1)99.3 %moderatecritical moderateimportant-
viral clearance (time to event analysis only) 1.09 [0.84, 1.42]> 157%7 studies (6/1)75.0 %moderatenot evaluable moderateimportant-
viral clearance by day 14 0.98 [0.18, 5.42]> 194%9 studies (9/-)49.0 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
viral clearance by day 7 1.29 [1.01, 1.65]> 170%12 studies (12/-)97.8 %some concernlow moderateimportant-
ICU admission 0.77 [0.47, 1.25]< 145%9 studies (8/1)85.9 %moderatenot evaluable moderatenon important-
recovery 1.13 [0.98, 1.31]> 10%3 studies (3/-)95.4 %some concernnot evaluable moderatenon important-

safety endpoints 00

serious adverse events 0.74 [0.53, 1.04]< 10%15 studies (15/-)96.0 %some concerncritical moderateimportant-
acute kidney injury 1.18 [0.44, 3.18]< 10%1 study (1/-)37.2 %NAnot evaluable non important-
adverse events 1.89 [1.41, 2.54]< 163%20 studies (20/-)0.0 %some concernlow moderatenon important-
arrhythmia 2.24 [0.23, 21.69]< 10%1 study (1/-)24.5 %NAnot evaluable non important-
elevated liver enzymes 3.48 [1.40, 8.64]< 10%1 study (1/-)0.4 %NAnot evaluable non important-
long QT 9.79 [1.27, 75.50]< 10%1 study (1/-)1.5 %NAnot evaluable non important-
Major bleeding 1.80 [0.88, 3.67]< 10%1 study (1/-)5.3 %NAnot evaluable non important-
renal impairment 1.35 [0.47, 3.86]< 10%1 study (1/-)28.8 %NAnot evaluable non important-

AE of interest endpoints 00

Thromboembolic events 0.89 [0.31, 2.55]< 10%1 study (1/-)58.6 %NAnot evaluable non important-

LoD: level of statistical demonstration: Statistically conclusive: statistically significant with a strict control of overall risk of type 1 error (statistically demonstrated), does not take into account the risk of bias; suggested: nominally statistically significant but without a strict control of overall risk of type 1 error; inconclusive: not nominally statistically significant; safety concerns;
Bayesian probability: Bayesian posterior probability of treatment effect (computed with a noninformative prior); ROB: risk of bias; k: number of studies; published MA: number of published meta-analysis on the same topic; degree of certainty adapted from GRADE. Trt. better when: indicates when the relative treatment effect shows that the studied treatment is better than control.